Wednesday, September 18, 2013

Food Processing Industry, a sunrise industry !

Indian production

Food grain   257 million tonnes

Fruits             75
Vegetables   145
Livestock      485
Fish               7
Meat             7
Milk             100
Plus pluses etc account for more than 1 billion tonnes. 

Yet only 2% is processed, against Brazil (70%), US ( 65%), Thailand ( 60%) and Malaysia (80%).Now we have Chappati machines ( 8000 chappatis per hour ), dosha machines, vada machines and India is on the go !

Wednesday, June 26, 2013

Sensex to fluctuate between 18 K and 20 K !

The MPEDA proclaims record stats. Marine exports income a record, 18800 crores in 12-13. MPEDA projects 14 earnings at 4.5 billion dollars. 

Kerala Tourism achieved a record 21125 crores and Indian Tourism 17 billion dollars. 

But these are some of the sectors in which India is doing well. The May stats induce one to a state of alarm and despondency. 

24 billion - 44 billion = -20 billion

and this year the Deficit will be > 200 billion. Given the 319 b federal debt, where is India headed ?

The stock markets will fluctuate, and it can fluctuate between 18 and 20 K.

From the Moon, both Jupiter and Saturn are adverse. The only positive factor is Jove in the Second from the Ascendant. 

The Rupee is becoming Senior and Gold is down. Inflation will rise to erode savings. Indian economy is likely to be ravaged by Jove in the 12th from the Lunar Ascendant.  Agri sector contributes only 17% to the GDP and it lacks innovation and investment. Industry contributes 20% and it is time the Hardware sector is improved. Infrastructure should be improved, even though it needs an investment of one trillion dollars !

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Sunday, June 09, 2013

Jove and Saturn prove adverse for Stock Market !

Now both Saturn and Jove are adverse, but Jove in the Second from Ascendant balances !

Jupiter has left Taurus . He had moved over to Gemini and we are hearing bearish news - like inflation, lack of infra, exports not upto mark, food inflation, IIP down etc.  Infrastructure is lacking. Power supply for industry is erratic.   

Negative Factors 

What are the negative factors, represented by  Saturn in the Fourth and Jove in Twelfth?.

Astrologically both Jupiter and Saturn are  pulling down and India is caught between the cyclical swings of boom and recession.

The 12th is the House of Loss and during that phase many economic problems will plague India. Despite the assurances of the Finance Minister, Indians will find the going tough. North Western India may get only 80% rainfall. In Kerala, also the SWM has only rained in certain parts. Anyway Kerala will get a normal monsoon !
In other words, the outook is not so rosy.  The 319 billion dollar debt and more than 100 b deficit make India a deficit country. Despite the developmental talk of the politicians, many parts of India do not have even potable water and infrastructure. Corruption is rampant and crimes are on the increase.

Sector wise, Industry contributes only 20% of GDP, Agri only 17% and the rest 63% is accounted by the service sector. It is time both industry and agri contribute more to the GDP and then only can India reach the level of China or US. The Agri sector lacks innovation and investment. India has to improve in the hardware sector in Industry. Only some sectors of industry - software, tourism etc - are doing well. The political stability in the wake of the 2014 General Elections can affect the market considerably.  

Positive Factors as represented by Transit Jupiter in the Second from Ascendant
On the positive side, harvest may be strong, beacuse of the normal monsoon forecast and the agri sector may post a 3% growth. Industry may post a 4% growth. Electricity generation may go up by 7% and manufacturing 4%. There are strong FII inflows and a modest economic recovery. India's potential is great and India has a burgeoning middle class. The falling rupee will fuel demand for IT stocks. And the Sensex is bound to oscillate between 18 K and 20 K ! 

Saturday, January 19, 2013

Jupiter in the 11th catapults the Sensex !

The market is around 20000. If you have a long term perspective, you can go in for blue chips. Indian economy will quadruple in the next ten years and the Sensex will shoot upto 50 K !. Prima Facie, the market appears to be bullish. The Decoupling Theory states that India and China will not be affected by the global meltdown. India seems to be on the recovery path. However we advise caution while investing or speculating.

The quintessence of Contrarian Investing is that one should invest at the Nadir. But we dont know the Nadir yet. We will have to wait. Wait we must, as the world is going through a Global Financial Crisis.

Once the Nadir or the rock bottom level is got, again we must wait. Because the market may lie low for some months, after touching the Nadir !. Only when the market exhibits bullish signals should we buy !

You can play the Bear but we warn you about the Corrective Phase. Please read our latest articles. If you invest now, you will do so at your own risk. It will not be a bad idea to invest in the MCX, the Multi Commodities Exchange.

Commodities Astrology ?

Gold has risen to $1600, after touching $1921.

We are in the midst of a commodity bull market cycle, which started in 2000. We have been advocating buying gold, from $900 onwards. Silver has gone upto $32 and lead and others are following suit. Increased demand from China and India and the bearish nature of the stock market,

Jupitert redeems India !

All savants have praised Jove in the 11th, as He will foster gains of a high order. Jupiter in the 11th is indeed good and you can see the Sensex shoot beyond the 19 K levels.

Today,16012013, it breached the 20 K mark. Now it is at 20004 ! at 11 AM. That is what we have been broadcasting in our columns, Jove in the House of Gains, bringing gains for the investors in the stock market.

Two major policies, permitting FDI in Multi Brand Retail and Banking have seen the Sensex shoot up. Many are expectant that the Sensex may breach the Resistance Level of 21.3 K !

Foreign funds bought 611 crores worth stocks on Monday. The total FII investment in 2012 was $ 22 billion. We expect more or less the same investment, if not more, this year. Total turnover on the BSE was 2406 crores on Monday, 14012013. Nifty is above 6000. Core inflation eased in December. Market leaders, Bajaj Auto and Reliance edged higher.

With Multi Brand Retail coming into the equation - more than 5 billion USD will be invested in India, as 52 centers open up. More than 30,000 cr or $ 6 billion will be invested in the insurance sector within 5 years, as share of FDI has been hiked from 26% to 49%.

Negative Factors to be taken into account before investing

What are the negative factors, represented by Saturn in the Fourth?.

The export dream of $ 360 billion may not be realised this year. Exports have slowed down. Inflation is up, particularly food inflation. The monsoons have been errant and many parts of India have resorted to power cuts. There is draught in US and other countries. Even Kerala has been declared as draught prone. Agri production may be hit, as rains are less this year. Even the North East Monsoon is a failure, bringing in less 25 per cent rains ! God save India and the rest !

Astrologically Jupiter is pulling up and Saturn is pulling down and India is caught between the cyclical swings of boom and recession.

The market will fluctuate as usual and it is now steady at 19.9 K. But Jove in the 11th favours the enterprising. India and China are the two economies growing. India has already become the third largest economy by GDP

PPP, estimated at 4.45 trillion USD. In real GDP terms, however, she is 11th. Her IT exports were 79 billion last year. So India has great potential, along with China, who is growing at a faster rate.

In this context, the Indian stock market offers great opportunities for the investor and this is implied by Jovian 11th Transit. Adverse factors are represented by Saturn and high inflation and value erosion of rupee. So be wise while investing. In the long term you will succeed but you will have to wait and wait, as Saturn is adverse.

So we advise investors to enter at lower levels. Watch the market and buy at declines. Buy only blue chips !

Gold Astrology

On the other gold is up at $ 1682 per ounce and INR 92074 ! Our advice to our readers to buy gold - we have advocating that when gold was at $900 - has come good. The precious metals are indeed precious metals - silver, palladium and platinum.